收稿日期: 2010-03-07
修回日期: 2010-05-27
网络出版日期: 2010-08-10
Method of Resource Forecast and Linear Programmingin Exploration Area and Its Application
Received date: 2010-03-07
Revised date: 2010-05-27
Online published: 2010-08-10
刘国全, 刘子藏, 李宏军, 贾丽, 吴雪松, 王冠, 汪津, 王永凯 . 区带资源量预测和线性规划方法及应用[J]. 天然气地球科学, 2010 , 21(4) : 627 -631 . DOI: 10.11764/j.issn.1672-1926.2010.04.627
According to exploration area features, we select the appropriate formula to calculate the amount of resource, and use the Monte Carlo method to establish the randomly distributed models of oil-bearing area, effective thickness, and effective porosity and initial oil saturation. In combined with relative density of crude oil and formation volume factor, we use the sophisticated algorithms and procedures to get the potential distribution of exploration area resource. In consideration of probabilistic risk assessment, resource amount, reserves cost, objectives of the different zones and the ratio of each reserves types, we use the linear programming method to enact the constrained conditions and objective function, and then we establish linear programming model and get the optimum combination of exploration zones. The scientific prediction of exploration area resource is a basis for exploration proposal, and the linear programming method can give a guarantee for the exploration proposal.
Key words： Exploration area; Resource forecast; Exploration deployment; Assemblage.
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