Caineng ZOU, Shizhen TAO, Dengfa HE, Zhi YANG, Jian LI, Guangyou ZHU, Wei YANG, Quanyou LIU, Yiqing YANG, Yanzhao WEI, Shipeng HUANG, Feng HONG, Hanlin LIU, Yue CHEN
China is abundant in natural gas resources, and the role of large gas fields as a cornerstone in the development of the natural gas industry is particularly prominent. By 2025, China's annual natural gas production had reached 2 619×108 m3, elevating the country to the fourth-largest gas producer globally, with large gas fields contributing approximately 75% of the total output. Confronting China's complex surface and subsurface challenges-ranging from conventional structural, stratigraphic-lithologic gas fields to unconventional tight gas, shale gas, and coalbed methane gas provinces-the theories and technologies concerning the formation and distribution of large gas fields have continuously evolved. This evolution has progressed from traditional, qualitative, broad-brush approaches to semi-quantitative and quantitative assessments of prospective zones. This progress has guided and propelled the continuous development and growth of China's natural gas industry system, exemplified by major gas provinces such as the Ordos, Tarim, and Sichuan basins. Research into the quantitative and semi-quantitative indicators of formation conditions and main controlling factors for China's large gas fields, which began in the 1980 s, has culminated after nearly 40 years of persistent effort. This study systematically proposes a set of core quantitative evaluation indicators and main controlling factors for hydrocarbon accumulation in China’s large gas fields. These include:Enrichment in gas generation centers and their periphery with sufficient generative intensity(generally exceeding 20×108 m3/km2), late-stage accumulation(since the Paleogene and Neogene periods, i.e., 65 Ma before present), and enrichment in areas with relatively low gas potential areas(relatively low-value zones). The construction and development of this semi-quantitative to quantitative evaluation indicator system represent a quantitative leap and an applied guideline for natural gas geological theory, advancing from “generation mechanisms-genetic identification-quantitative evaluation”. It holds milestone significance in theoretical innovation, technological application, and industrialization. This system has propelled the leapfrog development of China's natural gas industry from theoretical innovation to production capacity construction, exerting a profound influence on both domestic and international academic and industrial circles. Its core contribution lies in transforming geological principles into operational exploration evaluation methods. In the new era, innovating and developing this quantitative-semi-quantitative evaluation indicator system provides a Chinese solution for the exploration of complex natural gas reservoirs and associated resources globally, carrying significant practical implications.