Natural Gas Geoscience ›› 2021, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (1): 1-16.doi: 10.11764/j.issn.1672-1926.2020.12.019

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2021-2025 is a period of great development of China's natural gas industry: Suggestions on the exploration and development of natural gas during the 14th Five-Year Plan in China

Jin-xing DAI1(),Yun-yan NI1(),Da-zhong DONG1(),Sheng-fei QIN1,Guang-you ZHU1,Shi-peng HUANG1,Cong YU1,De-yu GONG1,Feng HONG1,Yan-ling ZHANG1,Zeng-min YAN1,Quan-you LIU2,Xiao-qi WU2,Zi-qi FENG3   

  1. 1.Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development,PetroChina,Beijing 100083,China
    2.Petroleum Exploration& Production Research Institute,SINOPEC,Beijing 100083,China
    3.China University of Petroleum (East China),Qingdao 266580,China
  • Received:2020-12-10 Revised:2021-01-06 Online:2021-01-10 Published:2021-02-04
  • Contact: Yun-yan NI,Da-zhong DONG E-mail:djx@petrochina.com.cn;niyy@petrochina.com.cn;ddz@petrochina.com.cn
  • Supported by:
    The Science and Technology Project of China National Petroleum Corporation(2013B-0601);The Consultation and Evaluation Project of Earth Sciences Division of Chinese Academy of Sciences(2018-G01-B-005);The Basic Research and Strategic Reserve Technology Research Fund of the Affiliated Institutions of China National Petroleum Corporation(2017D-5008-08);The Project of the Department of Natural Resources of Sichuan Province, China(2018-2020);The Major Science and Technology Project of China National Petroleum Corporation(2019B-04);The Outstanding Youth Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China(41625009)

Abstract:

Among the world's 10 major gas producing countries, only the United States, Russia and Iran have annual gas production of 2 500×108 m3 or more. China is expected to have gas output of 2 500×108 m3 in 2025. There are three bases for the great development of natural gas industry in China: Firstly, the natural gas resources are rich and the proved rate is low and only 8.6%, so it has the resource advantage for faster development; Secondly, over the past 35 years, natural gas production continues to grow, with the growth advantage for faster development; Finally, since 2006, the remaining recoverable reserves of natural gas are increasing year by year, showing the reserve advantage for faster development. In recent 10 years, China's annual natural gas production growth rate, remaining recoverable reserves and reserve production ratio of natural gas support that China's annual gas production in 2025 will reach 2 500×108 m3. Suggestions for accelerating natural gas exploration and development during the 14th Five-Year Plan Period: (1) Opening new exploration and development fields of Carboniferous-Permian shale gas in Ordos Basin; (2) Explore three potential large gas districts with hidden coal measures in the northern Tianshan Piedown Depression, Qaidam Depression and Xihu Sag; (3) Accelerate the development of seven large gas fields with proved reserves over 1 000×108 m3, such as Lingshui 17-2 Gas Field; (4) Increasing the drilling of gas wells and ultra-deep exploration wells.

Key words: China, Natural gas, Great development, Annual gas production of 2 500×108 m3, Gas reserves, Gas production, Reserve and production ratio

CLC Number: 

  • TE122

Fig.1

Distribution map of the ten countries with annual gas output of more than 1 000×108 m3 in the world(The color bars for different countries indicate the production levels achieved in previous years, the slash bars indicate the production levels that have been achieved in previous years but are not reached now)"

Table 1

Important exploration and development parameters of the world's top ten gas producing countries with an annual production capacity of over 1 000×108 m3"

国家总可采资源量5/(1012 m32019年底 探明累计 可采储量 /(1012 m32019年年产1 000×108 m3沉积岩 面积10/(104 km2总可采 资源丰度 /(104 m3/km2探明累计可采 储量丰度 /(104 m3/km2

探明

率 /%

常规非常规总量产量7/(108 m3排名产量 /(108 m3年份
美国31.939.070.952.454 911 579.4819951943803882.9653.274.0
俄罗斯123.830.0153.876.247 06 790.421 08619641 0601 450.9719.349.6
伊朗65.211.977.136.492 62 441.63994.8200867.711 388.55 390.347.3
卡塔尔53.0053.025.938 81 781.341 09820104.3123 255.860 322.848.7
中国48.437.085.457.365 71 761.7951 027.12011574.81 485.7128.18.6
加拿大14.715.830.59.046 71 731.069871987647.5471.0139.729.7
澳大利亚11.414.525.94.672 91 534.671 104.22017630411.174.218.0
挪威7.007.03.712 41 143.98991.6200813.15 343.52 833.953.0
沙特20.48.929.310.658 31 136.49992.320151491 966.4715.336.4
英国6.606.61.974 4396.319958.7199837.41 764.7527.929.9

Fig.2

Annual production statistics of natural gas (including coal-derived gas) in China from 1949 to 2019 and division of production growth stages"

Table 2

New annual natural gas production in the world's major natural gas producing countries over the past decade"

国家新增天然气产量/(108 m3
2010年2011年2012年2013年2014年2015年2016年2017年2018年2019年
美国146.80458.90440.70-32.00439.70474.20-128.8021.202 509.911 010.03
俄罗斯1 089.30142.4019.80279.70-328.005.2039.30430.50-140.7799.32
伊朗402.70340.60-109.00-21.200.000.000.30-0.30803.1758.28
卡塔尔348.4072.9025.50-7.10854.00-159.70-14.70367.70-471.7316.41
中国115.9063.0041.6098.30131.1044.5022.60111.60122.40159.00
加拿大-12.708.00-50.5036.9015.5041.30135.10126.5036.72-59.27
澳大利亚28.80-2.9034.5021.9079.80-54.8032.40541.60196.83233.61
挪威25.20-50.40129.30-55.60-3.20109.4030.0020.50-30.03-69.01
沙特-18.3059.9068.8010.500.000.000.000.00271.5015.44
英国-27.30-120.70-87.60-43.300.000.005.9032.7021.59-8.90

Fig.3

Statistics of China's remaining recoverable natural gas reserves from the 11th to the 13th five-year plans"

Fig.4

Distribution of residual recoverable natural gas reserves of the world's major gas producing countries with annual gas production of (1 000-2 500)×108 m3"

Table 3

Different scholars forecast the future annual production of natural gas in China"

预测者预测年产量/(108 m3
2025年2030年2035年
潘继平312 300~2 500
王玉青322 800
赵文智332 800
陆家亮等34-352 100~2 4502 550~3 0002 800~3 300
贾承造362 0502 4002 600~3 000
郭焦锋372 600
戴金星382 4003 400
孟莹393 000
阿列克谢洛桑403 000
刘贵洲等412 4002 700

Fig.5

The distribution of reserve-production ratio of the world’s major gas producing countries with annual gas production(1 000-2 500)×108 m3"

Fig.6

China's crude oil production in the past decade (according to China Mineral Resources Report, 2020)[44]"

Table 4

The number of gas wells, gas production and daily production per well in Ordos Basin from 2015 to 2019"

年份天然气井数/口当年天然气产量/(108 m3天然气井单井日产量/[m3/(d·口)]
201511 841421.459 751.35
201612 527417.079 121.56
201714 171424.458 206.03
201816 979451.767 289.58
201918 675494.087 248.43

Fig.7

Genetic identification of natural gas in Chaibei Depression, Qaidam Basin[59-60]①"

Table 5

The gas production, number of gas wells and daily gas production per well in the United States from 1989 to 2019"

年份气井产量/(108 m3在产井数/口单井日产量/[m3/(d·口)]年份气井产量/(108 m3在产井数/口单井日产量/[m3/(d·口)]
19894 448.25262 4834 642.9620054 947.47425 8873 182.70
19904 545.86269 7904 616.3320065 095.77440 5163 169.24
19914 535.68276 9874 486.3220075 375.04452 9453 251.20
19924 577.38276 0144 543.5220085 670.96476 6523 259.59
19934 726.40282 1524 589.3820095 771.75493 1003 206.86
19944 913.27291 7734 613.5220105 941.26487 6273 338.09
19954 893.72298 5414 490.9920116 391.42574 5933 047.50
19965 022.65301 8114 559.3720126 959.28577 9163 299.18
19975 052.87310 9714 451.6920136 829.41572 7423 266.87
19985 020.15316 9294 339.7220147 194.01586 2133 362.19
19994 980.98302 4214 512.4320157 469.13574 5303 561.76
20005 019.46341 6784 024.8220167 420.84571 6593 556.50
20015 133.67373 3043 767.6720177 666.69539 8753 890.65
20025 038.94387 7723 560.1620189 294.16512 6754 966.78
20035 063.56393 3273 527.03201910 269.98491 2055 728.14
20045 064.53406 1473 416.36

Table 6

Gas well production, number of gas wells and daily production per well of PetroChina and its Changqing, Southwest and Tarim oilfields branch companies from 2010 to 2019"

年份中石油中石油长庆油田公司
气井产量/(108 m3在产井数/口

单井日产量/

[m3/(d·口)]

气井产量/(108 m3在产井数/口

单井日产量/

[m3/(d·口)]

2010658.237 22024 977.29209.744 35413 197.96
2011694.158 40222 634.72256.735 38813 054.49
2012736.579 84720 493.52287.396 53112 055.78
2013825.1011 23020 129.44344.187 70012 246.34
2014890.5912 61719 338.87378.679 00911 515.59
2015895.9613 32518 421.63371.909 76210 437.39
2016922.7114 06517 973.50358.0410 5429 305.06
2017980.5015 36617 482.13366.7711 8038 513.41
20181 040.0617 93815 885.22385.1513 9327 573.89
20191 129.9120 06915 424.97411.3415 8397 115.09
年份中石油西南油气田公司中石油塔里木油田公司
气井产量/(108 m3在产井数/口

单井日产量/

[m3/(d·口)]

气井产量/(108 m3在产井数/口

单井日产量/

[m3/(d·口)]

2010153.621 37730 563.92174.19213224 054.15
2011142.061 39427 920.44164.90243185 919.61
2012131.521 50523 941.78188.84302171 316.52
2013126.081 54322 386.65217.90332179 813.58
2014137.261 51024 904.25230.34383164 766.26
2015154.841 38830 562.53233.61386165 811.91
2016190.061 24841 724.64233.80405158 160.80
2017210.251 22047 214.46251.58395174 494.75
2018226.331 27748 557.06263.94440164 348.57
2019268.651 41851 905.75281.31429179 653.16
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